Japanese candlestick charts took root in the ’80s and are incredibly popular with more serious traders. Glance into the complicated looking charts for the first time, and you may deem them difficult to understand. This doesn’t have to be the case — but if you’re starting from the very beginning, see this video on Candle Stick Analysis.
Spotting a bearish engulfing pattern needs no special skills. They occur regularly as a result of traders in the market changing their sentiment. They are very powerful, especially when they lead to a reversal of an uptrend.
figure 1
Traders know they have hit the sweet spot when there is a sufficient gap up. It’s the difference between the close position of the bullish candlestick and the open price of the bearish candlestick. In figure 1, we have a bearish-engulfing pattern but there is no sufficient gap up.
figure 2
The bearish-engulfing candlestick tells us that more sellers have entered the market. They outnumber the buyers, causing the prices to fall. This is in line with the rule of supply and demand. Each candlestick forms with a wick or shadow. What’s the meaning of the wick? If it appears on the bearish candlestick, it reveals that buyers tried to reject the dropping prices but were eventually overwhelmed. We say that the market is weakening, selling off, or there is increased supply. What makes the sellers sell?The most common explanation is that people who bought at lower levels of the upward trend are now taking their profits, since the upward trend couldn’t be sustained.
Bearish engulfing patterns may show up anywhere. However, they are most rewarding when you catch them just before the uptrend is reversed.
The action you take depends on your risk-to-reward ratio. Even though uptrends are touted as the best place to act on a bearish engulfing pattern, you can also leverage the pattern during a downtrend. In this case, the bearish engulfing pattern will happen after a pull-back. However, the pressure should be on the prices to fall.
figure 3
In this daily chart, we see a pull-back to the upside, followed by the formation of the bearish engulfing candlestick pattern. Prices then fall as the market is on a downtrend.
figure 4
After the formation of the first bearish-engulfing pattern on the following daily chart, there is a second black candle. It shows that the downward trend might be for real.
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figure 5
In the following daily chart, we have a strong upward trend. The red circle denotes a bearish engulfing pattern, but we don’t get a second black candle to confirm a reversal. It’s only several days later that we get an actual reversal of the strong upward trend.
There are also significant differences between the first engulfing pattern and the second: On the first, we don’t see the most ideal pattern formation as it lacks a large gap up. The market sentiment is towards a bullish trend, and as the pattern didn’t result in a reversal, it is called a “false signal.”
For the second case, the bullish candle, with the short real body, has been sufficiently engulfed. You’ll also notice that the upper wick on the second black candle extends considerably showing that the buyers attempted to reverse the sentiment but met strong opposition from the sellers.
Since the bearish-engulfing pattern denotes a falling market, we put the stop-loss order at the extreme top of the pattern (the highest swing). The stop loss will be invalidated if the prices rise. Bearish engulfing patterns are suited for traders looking for day moves and want to take advantage of full-day swings. The validity of the stop-loss order should last until the end of the day.
Markets move up, down, or sideways. The bearish-engulfing pattern is not particularly favorable if the price action is not forming any trend. To deduce if the market is currently sideways, you need to establish the line of resistance (where sellers are willing to take profits) and support line (the level at which buyers are not allowing the prices to fall).
There is a problem with relying on the bearish-engulfing pattern on its entirety to tell you the direction of the market. In addition to using support & resistance and trend analysis, consider learning about indicators.
What’s more, if you want to spot reversals, using indicators can help confirm the pattern.
Popular indicators include:
Volume Indicator Enhancing our Analysis of a Bearish Engulfing Pattern
Figure 6
Deductions:
Many people in the market participated in the formation of the resulting reversal. However, fewer people participate in the formation of the engulfing pattern, you may conclude that the signal is not that strong. Indicators just give you more conviction as to the direction the market might move.
RSI Indicator & the Bearish-Engulfing Pattern
Figure 7
The RSI indicator tells us if the commodities or stocks in question have been overbought. Buyers have pushed the price high enough that no buyers are likely to enter the market at the current price level. Some look-back periods for the RSI indicator include 2, 5, or 14 days. Now, during a 14-day look-back, if the RSI reads above 70, the conclusion is that the market has been overbought. We can, therefore, anticipate a reversal. In figure 7, when the bearish engulfing candle forms, you’ll notice that the RSI (14) has a value of 72. Subsequently, we see the market falling but since the predominant trend is upwards there is a pull-back.
Spotting a bearish-engulfing pattern is just the start of a potentially successful career in the Forex market. If you need more specialized knowledge, here are some helpful resources:
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